The yesses appear to have it with one day until Election Day
The successes of Prop. 50 and Measure B in Southern Alameda County appear likely; San Leandro Real Estate News; Trump administration policy shift forces Union City to scale back electric bus purchase
☕️MORNING BUZZ
—With a day left before Election Day on Tuesday, California’s Proposition 50 appears to be heading toward passage — buoyed by steady polling leads and a massive financial advantage.
The passage of Prop. 50 will hand Gov. Gavin Newsom and California’s blue state voters with a major victory against the policies of President Trump and the Republican Party.
A late-October PPIC poll found 56 percent of likely voters in favor of the measure, while an Emerson College survey pegged support even higher at 57 percent, and 37 percent opposed.
The numbers suggest growing comfort among voters with the proposal, which would temporarily replace the state’s current congressional maps with ones drawn by the Legislature.
Financially, the divide is striking. The Yes on 50 campaign has raised about $129 million and spent $77 million, a record-setting figure for a mid-cycle initiative.
The flood of campaign contributions in support of Prop. 50 was so overwhelming that Newsom asked donors to stop writing checks last week, according to The New York Times.
The No on 50 side has collected around $46 million, spending roughly $41 million, according to recent state filings.
The combination of a double-digit polling lead and overwhelming cash advantage gives the Yes campaign a strong hand — though turnout patterns could still tighten the final count.
—In parts of Southern Alameda County, Prop. 50 is not the only question on Tuesday’s ballot.
Voters in Fremont, Union City, and Newark will be asked to approve Measure B, a parcel tax to further support operations at Washington Hospital in Fremont.
Measure B would assess a five cent per sq. ft. tax on improved property for 12 years. If approved by south county voters, the parcel tax is estimated to generate $13 million a year for emergency healthcare, hospital, and trauma center services at the hospital.
Measure B has a similar contributor dynamic as Prop. 50—including an overwhelmingly cash advantage and strong likelihood for passage.
The Yes on Measure B campaign has spent $910,000, as of the most recent campaign filing deadline on Oct. 18. However, unlike Prop. 50, there is no formal opposition to Measure B.
—411 ON THE 510—Become an East Bay Insiders subscriber today and get FULL ACCESS to the inside scoop every weekday morning at 6 a.m. It’s what the insiders read.
—More inside:
ELECTION 2026: East Bay rep. helps out New York City's progressive mayoral candidate.
CITY NEWS: Real Estate News: 3bed/2bath single-family home with some local infamy hits the market.
Alameda County judge delays decision on motion to dismiss case involving San Leandro police officer accused of involuntary manslaughter.
East Bay court docket.
Union City leaders tried to move ahead with a fleet of electric buses, but Trump’s transit administration stymied its funding effort.
Despite BART’s murky fiscal outlook, an Oakland official wants a new downtown station.
