Bauters outraised, outspent Bas during the supervisorial race's final stretch

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Alameda County District 5 supervisorial candidates Nikki Fortunato Bas and John Bauters.

ELECTION 2024

11 days to Election Day

BOARD OF SUPERVISORS-DISTRICT 5

—BAUTERS BETTER—The Oakland Chamber of Commerce poll this week delivered a message that some onlookers had already felt with their gut.

—John Bauters’ campaign the Board of Supervisors in District 5 has taken a decisive position with Election Day around the corner.

—The poll showed Bauters, an Emeryville councilmember, leading Nikki Fortunato Bas, the Oakland City Council president, by a margin of 44 percent to 28 percent, with 28 percent undecided.

—Finance reports released by both campaigns on Thursday show Bauters also holds a commanding lead on the money front.

—Bauters outraised Bas during the past month, according to filings that represent the final reporting period before the Nov. 5 election.

—He also outspent Bas by more than $125,000 over the same period, and holds a 4-to-1 advantage in remaining cash reserves, through Oct. 19.

—For the year, the two runoff campaigns to replaces outgoing District 5 Supervisor Keith Carson, have spent a total of $1.5 million.

BOARD OF SUPERVISORS

DISTRICT 5

JOHN BAUTERS—Sept. 22-Oct. 19

• Cash IN $140,631

• Cash OUT $350,764

• Total Cash IN (2024) $755,642

• Total Cash OUT (2024) $806,539

• Loans/Debts $30,512

• Cash on Hand $81,325

NIKKI FORTUNATO BAS—Sept. 22-Oct. 19

• Cash IN $124,380

• Cash OUT $224,091

• Total Cash IN (2024) $672,995

• Total Cash OUT (2024) $710,419

• Loans/Debts $27,804

• Cash on Hand $22,266

—Bas won the March Primary with 32 percent of the vote, but nowhere close to secure the majority needed to avoid a November runoff. Bauters received 19 percent.

—If Bauters were to prevail on Nov. 5, it will be the third straight election for the Board of Supervisors in which the winner of the primary went on to lose the November runoff.

Reversal of fortune

—Supervisor David Haubert finished second in the 2020 primary to Vinnie Bacon by nearly two points. In November, Haubert beat Bacon by seven points.

—Supervisor Lena Tam did the same in 2022, reversing Rebecca Kaplan’s 13-point advantage in the primary with a 13-point victory in November.

—411 ON THE 510—There’s much more inside! Become an East Bay Insiders subscriber today and get full access to the inside scoop every weekday morning at 6 a.m. It’s what the insiders read.

MORE INSIDE(RS)

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• If Price is recalled, will former DA O’Malley seek to replace her?

• When is the earliest the Board of Supes could begin process for replacing Price?

• Voter turnout in Alameda County is still lagging

• Polling on Propositions 36, 33 and 5

• Swalwell’s opponent labels him a chicken

• CAMPAIGN FINANCE: Two IEs spent $40k to oppose Fife in Oakland D3