Poll indicates Thao, Price are likely to be recalled

Polling shows Thao is very unpopular, tight races for Oakland D3, city attorney; O'Malley calls Price a liar, endorses recall; Tensions are high in Union City, official has unkind words for candidate

ELECTION 2024

12 days to Election Day

THAO RECALL

—RECALL IS LIKELY—A poll released in early August showed Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao’s unpopularity at shocking high levels. With less than two weeks until Election Day, Oakland voters are still not impressed.

—The Oakland Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce presented its annual poll on Wednesday, showing Thao will likely be recalled from office on Nov. 5.

—The poll revealed that 56 percent of voters “definitely” support the recall, while those “definitely” against the recall was at 23 percent.. Those who “probably” or “lean yes,” raises the number supporting the recall to 64 percent.

—The displeasure with Thao is oddly a unifying force among disparate groups in Oakland. Sixty-four percent of both men and women both support the recall. Every age bracket supports the recall, although the 18-to-49 year-old demographic is the lowest at 58 percent.

—Liberals, moderates, and conservatives strongly support the recall. The only sub-group in the entire poll to oppose the recall, according to the poll is those who identify as progressive.

Sheng Thao and Oakland's poll numbers are underwater

—Every racial and ethnic group overwhelmingly supports the recall, with African American voters being the most supportive at 70 percent. (Caucasians are the least supportive at 59 percent.

—Among Oakland’s seven council districts, the recall’s most supportive voters live in Districts 6 and 7, which includes East Oakland.

—In addition, 63 percent of those surveyed labeled Thao’s job performance as poor. Nine percent said she’s doing an excellent or good job.

—Thao’s favorability is significantly underwater at -57 points. Sixteen percent find Thao favorable, while 73 percent described her as unfavorable. A poll conducted two months ago by placed the favorability number at -52.

—411 ON THE 510—There’s much more inside! Become an East Bay Insiders subscriber today and get full access to the inside scoop every weekday morning at 6 a.m. It’s what the insiders read.

MORE INSIDE(RS)

• ELECTION 2024: More on the Oakland Chamber poll: Oakland’s District 3 council race is shaping up to be a nail biter

• There’s a race in Oakland’s city attorney contest

• Bas campaign is struggling in the Alameda County District 5 supes race

• DA Price needs Oakland and help to avoid recall. Right now she isn’t getting it

• Mail theft in Berkeley may include ballots

• Video: Worries about conservative council creep has Union City Dems in a bad mood

• Campaign finance data for Wednesday.